Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 2.869906 3.186844 3.529344 3.927794 4.379613 4.877210 5.468299
2025-03-23 2.476635 2.917605 3.428110 4.066116 4.846710 5.776496 6.976514
2025-03-30 2.157366 2.653453 3.257613 4.054296 5.087220 6.394882 8.197564
2025-04-06 1.918458 2.441712 3.105272 4.019167 5.261874 6.917166 9.330340
2025-04-13 1.669160 2.182502 2.854723 3.813396 5.168361 7.050143 9.924427
2025-04-20 1.541471 2.067117 2.776559 3.822403 5.356448 7.575073 11.122841
2025-04-27 1.456683 1.999614 2.753248 3.899312 5.640474 8.258254 12.634529
2025-05-04 1.382774 1.939045 2.731300 3.971178 5.917555 8.952691 14.246123
2025-05-11 1.309940 1.872730 2.693235 4.011564 6.144695 9.586349 15.833560
2025-05-18 1.242634 1.808423 2.651344 4.039319 6.349910 10.200221 17.462043
2025-05-25 1.149016 1.697014 2.528239 3.925309 6.307370 10.387026 18.338066
2025-06-01 1.080179 1.618709 2.450224 3.876579 6.367535 10.753180 19.590809
2025-06-08 1.015209 1.543512 2.373837 3.827606 6.428617 11.138558 20.960844
2025-06-15 0.993747 1.536241 2.406511 3.966881 6.838753 12.214405 23.892580
2025-06-22 0.945315 1.481546 2.356452 3.956460 6.971891 12.776356 25.833293
2025-06-29 0.896902 1.423591 2.296506 3.922537 7.055801 13.248381 27.648549
2025-07-06 0.824063 1.320178 2.151949 3.722536 6.799206 13.000884 27.786869
2025-07-13 0.791657 1.283740 2.121288 3.731302 6.954599 13.624238 30.067249
2025-07-20 0.771980 1.267946 2.125671 3.806080 7.249489 14.578334 33.316046
2025-07-27 0.752732 1.251606 2.127705 3.875946 7.540410 15.558400 36.810319
2025-08-03 0.730263 1.228116 2.114957 3.915205 7.769648 16.426354 40.173096
2025-08-10 0.707523 1.202767 2.096991 3.942185 7.974284 17.261569 43.607149
2025-08-17 0.668249 1.145096 2.014787 3.831354 7.861907 17.323599 44.855178